White House 2000: Trial Heats
All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

Trial Heats from 1998-99

.

.
Gore
(D)		 Bush/
Cheney
(R)		 Buchanan
(Reform)		 Nader/
LaDuke
(Green)		 Not
Sure
% % % % % N
Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
7/24/00 41 49 1 3 6 644RV

.

RV = registered voters.

 

Al Gore
(D)		 George
W. Bush (R)		 Pat
Buchanan
(Reform)		 Ralph
Nader
(Green)		 Not
Sure
% % % % % N
ABC News/Washington Post Poll
7/20-23/00 39 44 6 7 3 1,001RV
6/8-11/00 41 47 4 4 5 RV
5/7-10/00 39 45 5 5 6 RV

.
Bloomberg News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
7/11-17/00 39 41 2 5 13 916RV
5/25 - 6/4/00 38 41 2 4 15 1,208

.
CBS News Poll
7/13-16/00 40 44 4 4 8 596RV

.
CBS News/New York Times Poll
7/20-23/00 40 45 3 5 7 743RV

.
CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
6/14-15/00 42 48 3 4 3 589LV

.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
7/12-13/00 36 44 4 8 8 900RV
6/28-29/00 37 42 2 7 12 900RV
6/7-8/00 32 39 2 3 24 900RV
5/24-25/00 35 42 2 3 18 900RV
5/10-11/00 33 40 2 2 23 900RV
4/26-27/00 31 37 3 3 26 903RV

.
Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
7/14-16/00 43 45 3 5 4 628LV
6/23-25/00 38 50 2 6 4 560LV
6/6-7/00 41 46 2 6 5 528LV
4/28-30/00 41 47 4 4 4 499LV

.
The Harris Poll
7/13-17/00 40 45 4 7 4 RV
6/8-12/00 40 47 4 6 4 RV

.
Hotline Bullseye Poll conducted by the polling company (R) and Global Strategy Group (D)
7/8-10/00 35 39 3 7 16 1,001LV
5/22-24/00 35 40 3 5 17 1,011LV
4/15-18/00 31 41 4 5 20 1,000LV

.
The Los Angeles Times Poll
5/4-7/00 39 47 3 4 7 1,211RV

.
John McLaughlin & Associates (R)
6/4-5/00 37 47 2 4 11 1,000LV

.
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
6/14-18/00 38 43 4 7 8 1,740RV
4/29 - 5/1/00 37 41 4 5 13 1,003RV

.
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
6/29-30/00 40 41 2 6 11 607RV
6/22-23/00 40 42 2 3 13 620RV

.
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
6/23-30/00 35 42 2 2 19 463RV
6/14-21/00 42 41 3 4 10 1,509RV

.
Research 2000
7/16-19/00 40 45 2 6 7 807LV
6/5-8/00 43 45 1 4 7 821LV

.
Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) Voter.com/Battleground Survey
5/1-3/00 39 44 3 3 11 1,000LV

.
Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/Zogby Poll
4/1-4/00 39 43 4 6 8 842LV

.

LV = likely voters
RV = registered voters

 

Al Gore
(D)		 George
W. Bush (R)		 Ralph
Nader
(Green)		 Pat
Buch-
anan
(Reform)		 Harry Browne
(Liber-
tarian)		 John
Hagelin
(Natural
Law)		 Not
Sure
% % % % % % % N

Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/Zogby Poll
7/14-17/00 37 43 6 3 2 - 9 890LV
6/16-20/00 36 42 4 3 1 - 14 1,011LV
6/9-12/00 37 44 2 3 - - 13 1,012LV
5/29-31/00 39 42 4 2 1 - 12 1,002LV
5/10-13/00 39 42 4 2 1 - 12 1,016LV

.
LV = likely voters

 

Gore
(D)		 Bush/
Cheney
(R)		 Other/
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
7/24/00 45 49 6 644RV +/- 4

.

RV = registered voters.

 

Al
Gore (D)		 George W.
Bush (R)		 Other/
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
ABC News/Washington Post Poll
7/20-23/00 45 48 6 1,001RV +/- 3
6/8-11/00 45 49 6 RV
5/7-10/00 44 49 7 RV
3/30 - 4/2/00 47 46 6 892RV
3/9-11/00 48 45 8 RV
2/24-27/00 44 50 6 RV
2/3-6/00 45 49 6 1,013 +/- 3
1/13-16/00 41 51 7 1,007 +/- 3

.
American Viewpoint (R)
4/5-9/00 37 44 19 800LV +/- 3.5
1/20-25/00 39 50 9 800RV +/- 3.5

.
Associated Press Poll conducted by ICR
6/21-25/00 39 40 21 798RV +/- 4

.
Bloomberg News Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
7/11-17/00 45 44 11 916RV
5/25 - 6/4/00 42 46 12 1,208 +/- 3

.
CBS News Poll
7/13-16/00 43 46 11 596RV +/- 4
4/15-17/00 41 43 16 RV
3/19-21/00 42 49 9 909RV +/- 3
2/6-10/00 43 47 10 1,265RV +/- 3

.
CBS News/New York Times Poll
7/20-23/00 41 48 11 743RV +/- 4
5/10-13/00 39 47 14 716RV +/- 4
2/12-14/00 44 45 11 979RV +/- 3

.
CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
6/14-15/00 45 49 6 589LV +/- 4
3/8-9/00 48 46 6 1,239RV +/- 2.8
2/2-3/00 42 50 8 1,005RV +/- 3.7
1/12-13/00 45 50 5 1,276RV +/- 3
1/5-6/00 39 56 5 1,319RV +/- 3

.
Democracy Corps (D) conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Research
3/13-15/00 46 49 5 1,000LV +/- 3.1

.
Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R)
3/21-23/00 42 47 11 1,000RV +/- 3.1
2/22-24/00 40 49 11 1,000RV +/- 3.1

.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
7/12-13/00 40 46 14 900RV +/- 3
6/28-29/00 40 44 16 900RV +/- 3
6/7-8/00 38 46 16 900RV +/- 3
5/24-25/00 39 49 12 900RV +/- 3
5/10-11/00 40 44 16 900RV +/- 3
4/26-27/00 38 47 15 903RV +/- 3
4/5-6/00 37 45 18 900RV +/- 3
3/22-23/00 42 44 14 900RV +/- 3
3/8-9/00 42 46 12 900RV +/- 3
2/23-24/00 39 49 12 900RV +/- 3
2/9-10/00 39 48 13 900RV +/- 3
1/26-27/00 39 47 14 900RV +/- 3
1/12-13/00 36 51 13 902RV +/- 3
.

.
The Gallup Poll
7/6-9/00 41 50 9 601LV +/- 5
1/25-26/00 44 51 5 865RV +/- 3

.
Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
7/14-16/00 46 48 6 628LV +/- 4
6/23-25/00 39 52 9 560LV +/- 5
6/6-7/00 44 48 8 528LV +/- 5
5/23-24/00 42 49 9 515LV +/- 5
4/28-30/00 44 49 7 499LV +/- 5
4/7-9/00 41 50 9 502LV +/- 5
3/30 - 4/2/00 45 46 9 498LV +/- 5
3/10-12/00 43 49 8 502LV +/- 5
2/25-27/00 43 52 5 500LV +/- 5
2/20-21/00 45 50 5 515LV +/- 5
2/14-15/00 45 50 5 524LV +/- 5
2/4-6/00 44 53 3 483LV +/- 5
1/17-19/00 42 53 5 745LV +/- 4
1/13-16/00 38 57 5 512LV +/- 5
1/7-10/00 43 52 5 814LV +/- 4

.
Handgun Control poll conducted by Peter D. Hart Research Associates (D)
7/6-13/00 41 44 15 814LV

.
Hotline Bullseye Poll conducted by the polling company (R) and Global Strategy Group (D)
7/8-10/00 41 43 16 1,001LV +/- 3.1
5/22-24/00 41 43 16 1,011LV +/- 3.1
4/15-18/00 36 43 22 1,000LV +/- 3
3/16-19/00 43 46 11 1,000LV +/- 3

.
The Los Angeles Times Poll
6/8-13/00 40 50 10 1,686RV +/- 3
5/4-7/00 43 51 6 1,211RV +/- 3

.
Marist College Poll
4/3-5/00 40 45 15 639RV +/- 4

.
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
6/14-18/00 41 49 10 1,740RV +/- 2.4
4/29 - 5/1/00 41 46 13 1,003RV +/- 3.2
3/8/00 43 40 17 621RV +/- 3.9
3/2-5/00 46 46 8 1,213 +/- 2.9
1/25-26/00 44 47 9 1,010 +/- 3.2
.

.
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
6/29-30/00 46 45 9 607RV +/- 4
6/22-23/00 45 45 10 620RV +/- 4
6/1-2/00 43 44 13 624RV +/- 4
4/13-14/00 42 44 14 584RV +/- 4
4/6-7/00 44 44 12 588RV +/- 4
3/9-10/00 44 47 9 603RV +/- 4
2/24-25/00 41 50 9 750RV +/- 4
2/3-4/00 45 47 8 754RV +/- 4
1/13-14/00 40 53 7 596RV +/- 5
1/6-7/00 43 50 7 535RV +/- 5

.
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
6/14-21/00 46 45 9 1,509RV +/- 3
5/2-6/00 45 46 9 940RV +/- 4
3/15-19/00 49 43 8 912RV +/- 4
2/9-14/00 45 46 9 971RV +/- 4

.
Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) Voter.com/Battleground Survey
6/11-13/00 40 52 8 1,000LV
5/1-3/00 42 49 10 1,000LV
3/12-13/00 44 48 9 1,000LV
1/3-5/00 37 52 11 1,000LV

.
Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/Zogby Poll
7/14-17/00 41 45 14 890LV +/- 3.4
6/16-20/00 39 46 15 1,011LV +/- 3.2
6/9-12/00 39 47 14 1,012LV +/- 3.2
5/29-31/00 41 42 17 1,002LV +/- 3.2
5/10-13/00 41 46 13 1,016LV +/- 3.2
4/1-4/00 42 46 12 842LV +/- 3.5
3/8-10/00 42 45 13 879LV +/- 3.4
2/4-6/00 45 43 12 1,024LV +/- 3.2
1/3-5/00 39 50 11 879LV +/- 3.5

.
LV = likely voters
RV = registered voters

 

Al Gore
(D)		 George
W. Bush (R)		 Pat
Buchanan
(Reform)		 Not
Sure
% % % % N MoE
ABC News/Washington Post Poll
3/9-11/00 46 45 4 4 RV
2/3-6/00 45 46 5 3 1,013 +/- 3

.
CBS News Poll
3/19-21/00 41 46 4 9 909RV +/- 3

.
CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
3/8-9/00 46 43 5 6 1,239 +/- 2.8

.
EMILY's List poll conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang (D) and Lake, Snell, Perry & Associates (D)
3/21-24/00 42 44 5 9 LV

.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Poll
4/5-6/00 32 40 3 25 900RV +/- 3
3/22-23/00 37 39 3 21 900RV +/- 3
3/8-9/00 41 45 3 11 900RV +/- 3
1/26-27/00 39 44 6 11 900RV +/- 3

.
Gallup/CNN/USA Today Poll
4/7-9/00 42 48 4 6 502LV +/- 5
3/10-12/00 43 47 6 4 502LV +/- 5
1/7-10/00 42 50 5 3 814LV +/- 4

.
Marist College Poll
4/3-5/00 42 43 3 12 639RV +/- 4

.
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R)
4/29 - 5/1/00 39 43 6 12 1,003RV +/- 3.2
3/2-5/00 44 42 5 9 1,213 +/- 2.9
1/25-26/00 43 43 5 9 1,010 +/- 3.2

.
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
3/9-10/00 41 43 8 8 603RV +/- 4

.
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
3/15-19/00 47 40 6 7 912RV +/- 4
1/12-16/00 39 51 4 6 851RV +/- 4

.
Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) Voter.com/Battleground Survey
1/3-5/00 37 48 5 9 1,000LV

.
Zogby International "America Poll" and Reuters/Zogby Poll
4/1-4/00 41 44 5 10 842LV +/- 3.5

.
LV = likely voters
RV = registered voters

 

Al Gore
(D)		 George
W. Bush (R)		 Ralph
Nader
(Green)		 Pat
Buch-
anan
(Reform)		 Harry Browne
(Liber-
tarian)		 John
McCain
(vol.)		 John
Hagelin
(Natural
Law)

Howard
Phillips
(Consti-
tution)

Not
Sure
% % % % % % % % % N

The Gallup Poll
5/18-21/00 38 45 3 2 1 1 1 - 9 1,011

 

Gore/
Bradley
(D)		 Bush/
McCain
(R)		 Other/
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
CNN/Time Poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners
3/8-9/00 46 49 5 1,239RV +/- 2.8

.
Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R)
3/21-23/00 40 51 9 1,000RV +/- 3.1

.
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
4/27 - 5/7/00 39 49 12 603RV +/- 5

.
Tarrance Group (R)/Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D) Voter.com/Battleground Survey
3/12-13/00 42 48 10 1,000LV

.

LV = likely voters
RV = registered voters

 

Gore/
Bradley
(D)		 Bush/
Colin
Powell
(R)		 Other/
Not
Sure
% % % N MoE
Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R)
3/21-23/00 40 50 10 1,000RV +/- 3.1

.

RV = registered voters
 

Copyright © 2000 THE POLLING REPORT, INC., and polling/sponsoring organizations
Last modified: July 27, 2000